Showing posts with label Morningstar Associates. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Morningstar Associates. Show all posts

Wednesday, January 28, 2015

Searching For Yield:Bank Loans,Gold and IBM

We think ultimately rates are going to be heading higher,said Mark Kiesel,PIMCO CIO and co-manager of the firm's iconic income fund,the Total Return Fund.You're better off investing in bank loans at 4-5% yield.You're not going to get that with bonds today.It's also a sign of global disinflation.With bank loans,you're investing in a structure that protects you.MGM and Hilton are offering 4-5% on bank loans.
As of 9-26,we've outperformed about 90% internationally at the Total Return Fund.TIPS,or Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities,are very cheap,favouring international markets like Brazil and Mexico.We have a great story at Total Return Fund.
Morningstar Associates gives the Total Return Fund three out of four stars and considers it to be world class.
Bank loans in the form of mortgage-backed securities are commonly in the portfolios of income funds,including the Total Return Fund.*
Most of the damage done by the Swiss central bank,which of a sudden lifted a three-year-old cap on the Swiss franc, probably occurred in retail debts.I don't think there will be anything untoward that happened to US banks.I think it just causes greater disrespect for central banks generally,said Dennis Gartman,editor of The Gartman Letter.
I've been long gold and short euros,and that's been very beneficial.I see no reason to think that strong gold's going to change.The Swiss move is going to be detrimental to their currencies and strong to gold.*
IBM reported earnings per share of 5.81,in line with the estimate.Revenue was 24.11 billion,falling a bit short of the 24.77 billion estimate.Currency fluctuations and divestitures hurt their revenue.I think it's a step in the right direction,said Daniel Ives of FBR Capital Markets.Can this company succeed in the cloud?The outlook going forward is really the elephant in the room for investors.Given the playbook,it's about IBM giving investors comfort in the cloud transition.*
PIMCO Total Return Fund Class A(PTTAX),International Business Machines(IBM),Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF(GDX)

Wednesday, June 26, 2013

Bond Market Impact:The Implications of Rising Rates

The recent bond sell-off and concomittant rise in interest rates present both challenges and opportunities.
I think we're gonna see a slowing in housing,said Bliss Morris,CEO of First Financial Network.Rising rates could certainly affect newer borrowers.Those still involved in renting could have some trouble buying a home.
California is doing better,the sand states of Arizona,Florida and Nevada,but secondary and tertiary markets could be in trouble.Our community banks are suffering from regulations and have not totally sold off their non-performing assests.
The next opportunities could be in the Euro-zone,with its many foreclosed properties.I don't think they've totally stabilised.They face some challenges with cultural and linguistic differences.
We do think the Treasury market offers value here,said Mark Kiesel,managing director and portfolio manager at PIMCO.We see a much weaker economy,and so we see value.We just don't see the economy generating jobs growth.There's a lot of consumer debt and unemployment is structurally high.
We're going through an unwinding of risk,creating volatility,but over time,the Fed will take another point of view and rates will go back down,Mr.Kiesel projected.
Mark Kiesel was Morningstar Associate's 2012 Fixed Income Manager of the Year.