Consultancy:Geopolitics and Economics

We have reached the end of the 9-11 era,says Ian Bremmer,President of the eminent consultancy Eurasia Group.This has resulted in the conflation of economics and politics.Geopolitics are being driven by economics now.
In the developed world,investors are concerned about what politicians will do.It means that all of the risks that are out there create a backdrop of hesitancy to take risks.The fragmentation of Europe isn't going to happen,however.There's a big leadership transition,and the currency issue is not a big risk.Indigenous innovation could have a negative impact on U.S. multinational corporations.
The surprises this year are on the good front.The global elections aren't as big a deal as some of the instability we're looking at,Mr.Bremmer pointed out.
Presidential elections are being held in the U.S.,France and Russia in 2012.
Eurasia Group is a political risk consultancy.It has a network of about 480 experts on its staff in 65 countries.Its full time staff of 125 works from offices in New York,Washington,London and Tokyo.Most of the staff have advanced degrees.

China's Formidable Qualities

China is a country full of driven and ambitious people,in the view of Donald Feigenbaum of The Eurasia Group.Scale is something that China,with its huge population, has going for it.They want to compete in technological developments such as high speed rail and green energy.They are looking to attack any sector tied to the economy.
On the other hand,it is harder for China to engage in basic innovation.And China is not the first country to have an industrial policy.Having one doesn't mean they'll succeed across the board,Mr.Feigenbaum pointed out.
Many observers feel China is experiencing a mid-cycle slowdown.Some of this is self-imposed,to prevent the economy from overheating-particulary the property market.