Showing posts with label deleveraging. Show all posts
Showing posts with label deleveraging. Show all posts

Wednesday, June 5, 2013

Issues in Money Management

BlackRock is the world's largest money manager,owning the iShares exchange traded funds.Consumer confidence is up,but manufacturing is down,BlackRock CEO Larry Fink noted.Private sector deleveraging is still going on.
I actually believe we can't find enough good investments.Bonds are no longer providing sufficient return.
Emerging markets are probably today relatively cheap compared to where they were a few years ago.
We need a mandatory savings policy in the US.Retirement is an even bigger issue than tax policy.We need to educate Americans about the longevity of life.
I'm not worried about retirees.I'm worried about the young people who are not putting money away for retirement.We have men and women who should have more choice-maybe with the mandatory savings plan as a backup.
Everything that we face today is more short-termism.Most market partcipants make money on the velocity of money,on quick trades.It's the 24/7 news cycle,the annual election of board members.Some form of elongation is needed.
One of the big issues is confidence.We're sitting with a trillion dollars in money market funds by corporations.
Five years is the average term of CEOs.You see more short term changes in their behaviour.
BlackRock is the largest shareholder of JP Morgan Chase,and is among the top three shareholders of many other firms.Less pressure on board members means better outcomes,Mr.Fink suggested.
BlackRock(BLK)

Wednesday, May 8, 2013

Portfolio Management:The Need For Income Now

We've transitioned to an emergency need for income,said Rick Rieder,Chief Investment Officer of Fundamental Fixed Income at BlackRock.Rates are gonna be low for a long time.To get any real income,you have to take risk at levels that are uncomfortable.
Central banks are crowding out investments at a record level.You create a portfolio rebalancing act that is profound.We live in a delevering world.You'll create bubbles like we had in prior decades if it goes on for too long.
Maybe there will be no tapering of Fed policy until 2014.Because you're distorting the interest rates so low and lengthening the portfolio,you're creating potential risk in the fixed income portfolio higher than in equities.Tactical short term,we've taken some interest rate exposure;longer term,loans and structured products without a lot of interest rate risks,such as CMBS,collateralised mortgaged-backed securities.
We think the growth of the real estate business has some real durability to it.People underestimate what a big deal it is.You have an environment of liquidity today.It's part of what will keep the real estate market in strong shape.
The delevering in Europe is gonna go on for years.
It's very hard to generate yield when the 10 year Treasury is at 1.50%,Mr.Rieder pointed out.Central bank policies are causing a haircut for investors,PIMCO co-CIO Bill Gross agreed.
People are excited about the equity market,yet anxious about the artificiality of central bank assistance,his colleague Mohamed El-Erian added.If these prices are not validated by data,they will look very artificial.
BlackRock,Inc(BLK)

Wednesday, December 26, 2012

Market Strategy:The Deleveraging Process and the Investor

The politicians in Washington are now facing up to years of deficits and expiring tax breaks,and there will be real consequences for investors.They need to take care of spending first,according to Stephen Wood,PhD,Chief Market Strategist at Russell Investments.Even if everything goes right,you're looking at -1% GDP.If everything goes wrong,there will be -4 GDP.
If no agreement is reached on the budget,sequestration will come into force.Sequestration means government spending being take out of the economy.This is what deleveraging looks like.How much government are we willing to pay for?That's going to be less than in previous years.
Investors are going to need to look for a globally diversified,mixed strategy.Look at commodities and emerging markets.
We need to manage expectations of investors.People are being forced up the risk spectrum.They're gonna need more risk to get the returns they're accustomed to.
We've gone from apportioning revenue to apportioning debt.The process isn't that fun to witness,but the end result will be good for our country.
Dr.Wood conducts research on the economy,capital markets,portfolio strategies and investor behaviour.He interfaces with Russell's institutional clients and retail partners to communicate the firm's perspectives on the global market,investment process and portfolio management.He is a frequent guest on business television.